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French, Russian and American researchers have measured the temperature,
the aerosol and greenhouse gas concentration and various other climate
and environmental parameters over the last four climate cycles. The results
confirm the idea that climate variations are caused by the Earths
orbital changes and to a large extent amplified by greenhouse gases. The
high concentrations of greenhouse gases, unprecedented in the past 420,000
years, underscore their role in the possible warming of the planets
climate. This study was published in Nature by 19 researchers from
three participating countries. They include thirteen glaciologists and
climatologists from CNRS laboratories in Grenoble and the joint CEA-CNRS
unit in Saclay (1).
The 3,623 meters of ice core
bored in Vostok, Antarctica, are the result of a 10-year collaboration
between Russia, France and the United States (2). The Vostok site is considered
one of the least hospitable on Earth, since its altitude is 3,500 meters
and its average yearly temperature is minus 55° C.
The analysis of this ice core provides a record of the atmosphere during
the last four climatic cycles. For the first time, researchers were able
to establish, over such a long period, a simultaneous record of temperature
variations, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and oxygen proportions
in the atmosphere, of the quantity of dust blown from the desert and aerosols
from sea spray.
The climate and environment parameters show the existence of four major
cycles, with a periodicity of 100,000, 40,000 and 20,000 years. During
the four cycles, the atmospheric characteristics varied within rather
stable limits, with a temperature amplitude variation in Antarctica of
about 12°C at land level and 8°C in the troposphere. Between cold
and hot periods, the greenhouse gas concentrations in the global atmosphere
varied between 180 (ppmv (parts per million in volume) and 280 ppmv for
carbon dioxide, and between 350 ppbv (parts per billion in volume) and
700 ppbv for CH4.
According to these findings, the greenhouse gas concentrations are correlated
to the Antarctic temperature over the entire period under study, which
confirms previous observations made for the last 150,000 years. This link
also appears during the warmest interglacial periods, when greenhouse
gas concentrations were at their highest (300 ppmv of CO2 and 750 ppbv
of CH4). These values are nevertheless far below the level of present
concentrations 360 ppmv of CO2 and 1,700 ppbv of CH4. Such levels
are unprecedented during the past 420,000 years.
Each of the four large glaciation periods was followed by a transitional
interglacial period, towards the years 310,000, -240,00, -135,000
and 15,000. The end of the glacial period was usually the coldest,
and the transition towards a warmer climate took 5 to 10,000 years. In
each of the four transitional periods, according to the analysis of the
ice samples, the same sequence of events took place: the increase in the
concentration of greenhouse gases (CO2 and CH4) was almost immediately
(more or less 1,000 years) followed by the warming of the upper southern
latitudes. And only several thousand years later, the Northern hemisphere
warmed up and the ice caps that had formed massively merged. These findings
show how the climate transmission system between the two hemispheres worked,
and will serve as a basis for climate modelling systems.
The climate cycles, just as those observed for marine sediments, show
the impact of the changes, however slight, in the Earths orbit on
climate variations. But yet more has been discovered. Our warm period,
which began 11,000 years ago, seems to be longest ever in 420,000 years.
The sunshine variations are not significant enough to explain the amplitude
of the observed climate changes. These findings confirm the idea, suggested
a decade ago, that greenhouse gases, by amplifying the variations initiated
by the orbital variations of the Earth, were also responsible for the
glacial/interglacial changes. The actual mechanisms still remain to be
determined.
(1) Climate and Atmospheric
History of the past 420,000 years from the Vostok Ice Core, Antarctica,
by Petit J.R., Jouzel J., Raynaud D., Barkov N.I., Barnola J.M., Basile
I., Bender M., Chappellaz J., Davis J. Delaygue G., Delmotte M. Kotlyakov
V.M., Legrand M., Lipenkov V.M., Lorius C., Pépin L., Ritz C.,
Saltzman E., Stievenard M., Nature, 3 June 1999.
(2) The project is supported
by the Russian Ministry of Sciences, and in the United States, by the
Office of Polar Programs of the NSF. In France, the project is coordinated
by the Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de lEnvironnement
du CNRS and carried out in the framework of a close collaboration between
the CNRS/INSU, the CEA/DSM and the Institut français de recherche
et technologie polaire in Brest. It is also supported by the National
Programme for the study of climate dynamics of the European Commission,
the Fondation de France, the Rhônes-Alpes region and the J. Fourrier
University in Grenoble.
Researcher
contacts:
Jean Robert Petit and
Dominique Raynaud
Laboratoire de Glaciologie et Géophysique de lEnvironnement
CNRS
Tel: 33 4 76 82 42 44/42 45
(Photos available at the laboratory)
Jean Jouzel
Laboratoire des sciences du climat et de lenvironnement CEA-CNRS
Tel: 01 69 08 77 13
Press contact:
Séverine Duparcq
Tel: 33 1 44 96 46 06
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