Collective Risks: Scientists in the Role of Experts

Seismic and Volcanic Risks

The primary role of the "Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris" (IPGP, Paris Institute of Physics of the Globe) is the observation and study of natural phenomena, research, and teaching. It ensures the continuous observation of various natural phenomena. Its observations may contribute to the prevention and mitigation of seismic and volcanic risks.
IPGP has three volcano observatories in French overseas departments, for which there are agreements with regional authorities (Conseils Généraux) and INSU: Pelée Mountain (Martinique), Soufrière (Guadeloupe), Piton de la Fournaise (Reunion Island). It also hasa regional seismic network in the Lesser Antilles, as well as two observatories, run as part of cooperation programs and located in Djibouti and in the Comoro Islands (Karthala).
These volcano monitoring networks make it possible to communicate information concerning the early warning signs of volcanic activity to civilian authorities, within a time frame ranging from a few days to a few hours from observable reactivation of the volcano. Thanks to this network, an increase in the gas and smoke emanating from Soufrière and the appearance of a significant acid phase have been observed since early 1998. Since the observatory was set up in 1980, thirty eruptions have also been detected at Piton de la Fournaise, all of which were preceded by early warnings and warnings reported to civilian security officials.
Although it was unable to predict earthquakes, the regional seismic network in the Lesser Antilles was able to provide local authorities and the media with information about those that were experienced.
All of these data have allowed and continue to allow civilian authorities to take the necessary security measures. Although the authorities trust the judgment of scientific experts, often they hide behind the scientists' analysis. The researcher is then in a difficult position, as his or her role takes on a political aspect, the limits of which are not always clearly defined.
In addition, in-depth geological studies of volcanoes allow us to reconstruct the eruption background of each volcano and to establish scenarios regarding future eruptions, leading to the development of hazard maps, which are indispensable for specialized emergency plans.

In the last few years, Jean-Louis Cheminée's research has concentrated on intraplate volcanism: structure, geochemistry, and operations of volcanic devices set up in hot spots (Teahitia, hot spot of the Society Islands, South Pacific, MacDonald, hot spot of the Southern Islands, Piton de la Fournaise, hot spot of Reunion Island).

In the area of volcano monitoring, Jean-Louis Cheminée is also the coordinator of the EMEWS Project (European Mobile Early Warning System), of which the IPGP is the leader. This project brings together most of the centers in charge of monitoring volcanoes in Europe and aims to define a European standard for mobile volcanic early warning systems: development of easily-installed, reliable equipment, integration and adaptation of software to facilitate the management of volcanic crises, development of a data base relating to the parameters recorded during previous crises for comparison with the current crisis (concept of "twin volcanoes").

Most recent publications:
ALBAREDE F., LUAIS B., SEMET M., KAMINSKI E., UPTON B.C.J, BACHELERY P. et CHEMINEE J.-L. (1997). The geochimical regimes of Piton de la Fournaise volcano (Réunion) during the last 530.000 years. Journal of Petrology, 38 : 171-201

BARRAT J.-A., FOURCADE S., JAHN B.-M., CHEMINEE J.-L. et CAPDEVILLA R. (1998). Isotope (Sr, Nd, Pb, O) and trace-element geochemistry of volcanics from the Erta'Ale range (Ethiopia). JVGR, 80: 85-100

HEINRICH Ph., MANGENEY A., GUIBOURG S., ROCHE R., BOUDON G. et CHEMINEE J.-L. et CAPDEVILLA R. (1998). Simulation of Water waves generated by a potential debris avalanche in Montserrat, Lesser Antilles. GRL, 25 : 3697-3700.

Jean-Louis CHEMINEE
CNRS Research Director
Geomagnetism, Paleomagnetism, Geodynamics
(CNRS - "Institut de physique du globe de Paris, "
Paris Institute of Physics of the Globe - Université Paris 7)
Tel: 01 44 27 34 67
E-mail: cheminee@ipgp.jussieu.fr



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